What is the Hype Meter?
The Hype Meter is a formula that measures season’s expectations against actual results. It’s aim is to produce an alternative and somewhat stranger measurement of how Arsenal is progressing in the Premier League. A more touchy-feely gauge of whether we need to buck up our act or enjoy the trailing pack eating our dust.
For a more in-depth explainer on the inner-workings of the Hype Meter, click here.
Arsenal’s season begins with Sunderland at home and away to Stoke City. With the vim and good feeling surrounding the new arrivals of Santi Cazorla, Olivier Giroud and Lukas Podolski, expect to see those vibes translate to hard-fought victories against tough opposition.
Fresh from an away trip to Stoke, Arsenal follows up with a journey to Anfield in one of the toughest fixtures on the calendar. Liverpool’s glory days are long gone, but despite their penchant for overpriced and extremely mediocre players, expect this to be a tough as nails fight with the points shared. Arsenal returns home to a match against newcomers Southampton which should prove a straight-forward three points. But a trip to Man City should prove to be Arsenal’s first loss of the season, followed by a home draw against big spending Chelsea.
With the kick up the backside from City and Chelsea, expect maximum points from all fixtures in October. Arsenal only has three league matches this month, away to West Ham and Norwich and at home to Queens Park Rangers. Anything less than nine points will be considered a slip-up.
Arsenal’s traditionally awful month kicks off with a daunting trip to Old Trafford where the media build-up will be quick to remind us of the 8-2 thrashing, as well as the possibility of one Robin van Persie plying his trade for the Mancs. Mr Negative here is expecting no points at all from this fixture. That is followed up by home matches against Fulham and Tottenham, but expect to see a very slow recovery from the Man United loss as Arsenal manage only a draw in both fixtures, dropping four points at home. Another loss follows with an away trip to Aston Villa, before Arsenal gets its only win of the month against Everton as it continues to enjoy the happy hunting ground of Goodison Park.
Arsenal’s most productive month should come in December as it gains 14 points from a possible 18. Expect home wins against Swansea and West Bromwich Albion and an away victory against Reading, before drawing to Wigan at the JJB Stadium. Arsenal should do the double over West Ham when the London neighbours come to the Emirates Stadium, before closing out 2012 with a home draw against Newcastle.
January looks like it could be one of the darker months for the Gunners with a new-year draw against Southampton away, before drawing at home to Man City. A loss at Stamford Bridge will then be followed up with another home draw against Liverpool.
February should start well with a home win against Stoke City, meaning a nice double over the hated rivals from up north. But the good vibes come to a halt with a difficult away trip into the Black Country with a loss to Sunderland, before returning to London to beat Aston Villa.
The month of March begins with a brave draw away to Spurs before beating Everton in a close win at the Emirates. The difficult trip to Swansea results in a draw before Arsenal returns to the Emirates to easily beat Reading.
Arsenal should make it three consecutive wins after Reading with victories against WBA away and Norwich at home. But the streak is ended horribly with two losses, away to Fulham and at home to Manchester United.
The horrible end to April will mean a stuttering end to the season as Arsenal fail to gain any wins, and in fact draw all their matches away to QPR, at home to Wigan and away to Newcastle.